Monday, August 20, 2012

The Battle for Dominion in the China Sea

 

THE BATTLE FOR DOMINION IN THE  CHINA SEA

An anti-Japan protester tears Japanese Rising Sun Flag during a rally outside the Japanese Consulate General in Hong Kong as they demanded that the Japanese government release Chinese activists arrested in Japan after landing on Uotsuri Island, one of the islands of Senkaku in Japanese and Diaoyu in Chinese. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

A new area of potential confrontation is developing between China and the U.S. According to reports, Exxon Mobil which has acquired exploration and production rights from Vietnam has discovered substantial gas reserves in the South China Sea  off the coast of North Vietnam.

"U.S. oil company ExxonMobil is reporting a "potentially significant" gas discovery off the coast of Vietnam, stating in a press release, "We can confirm ExxonMobil Exploration and Production Vietnam Limited drilled its second exploration well offshore Danang in August 2011 and encountered hydrocarbons." (See John C.K. Daly, Apocalypse Redux? U.S. Natural Gas Find off Vietnam Could Raise Tensions with China,  http://oilprice.com )

 


It is important to note that  these off-shore reserves are located between the North Vietnam coastline and China's Hainan island in an area of disputed jurisdiction between Vietnam and China. (see map above) The contested area is made up of blocks 117, 118 and 119, which according to Hanoi fall  within the 200-mile exclusive economic zone under international maritime law (Ibid)

On October 31, following the ExxonMobil discovery announcement, China responded by warning foreign companies not to meddle  "in areas also claimed by China." ( China again warns foreign oil firms on South China Sea exploration | Reuters, October 31, 2011)

"We hope foreign companies do not get involved in disputed waters for oil and gas exploration and development. This position has been consistent," Hong said, when asked whether China plans to ask Exxon Mobil to withdraw from its oil and gas deal with Vietnam.

He did not elaborate, nor single out Exxon Mobil by name.

Exxon Mobil has a licence from the Vietnamese government to explore blocks 117, 118 and 119 off the Danang coast, falling within what Vietnam claims is its 200-mile exclusive economic zone under international maritime law, the Financial Times reported last week.

But the blocks also fall within China's vast claim to almost the entire South China Sea, also claimed in part by Brunei, Malaysia, the Philippines and Taiwan.

The sea and areas such as the Spratly Islands and other atolls are believed to have rich deposits of oil and gas and is also a rich fishing ground.

One of China's most popular newspapers, the Global Times, cautioned last week that nations involved in territorial disputes in the waters should "mentally prepare for the sounds of cannons" if they remain at loggerheads with Beijing. ExxonMobil finds significant gas off Vietnam » Energy Delta Institute, October 27, 2011)

The conflict is not between Vietnam and China. Vietnam is a junior partner. The Hanoi government is serving Western oil interests against those of China.

It is important to view the confrontation between US and Chinese oil and gas interests in the broader geopolitical context.

The potential clash between Washington and Beijing in the south China sea is intimately related to the broader battle for oil waged in the Middle East-Central Asian chessboard, where China has significant interests in oil, natural gas as well as pipeline routes.

The South China sea is an area of potential military confrontation. The South China sea is in the area of deployment of the Seventh Fleet, which, in a bitter irony played a central role during the Vietnam war.
In the wake of the Vietnam war, Vietnam has become a de facto proxy State controlled by Western and Japanese corporate interests

In July, the US Navy together with Japan and Australia conducted major military exercises in the South China sea in maritime areas contiguous to the contested offshore oil and gas exploration concessions.  These drills were followed by joint naval exercises between the US and Vietnam in August, which were were seen by Beijing as constituting a veiled threat to China.

Stand-off between Vietnam and China over oil

 

A territorial war of words between China and Vietnam came a step closer to violence yesterday.

The two communist nations have been trading diplomatic blows over oil exploration in the South China Sea.

But yesterday Vietnam announced live-ammunition drills in an apparent response to China’s demand that it halts all exploration.

Oil dispute: A Chinese marine surveillance ship sails 120 miles off the Vietnamese central province of Phu Yen

Oil dispute: A Chinese marine surveillance ship sails 120 miles off the Vietnamese central province of Phu Yen

Vietnam said its navy would carry out two exercises on Monday off the country’s Quang Nam province and warned boats and ships to stay out of the area.

It was the first time Vietnam has issued such an alert about maritime drills.

The two countries have a history of territorial disputes in the South China Sea near the Spratly and Paracel islands, but the latest row has sparked an unusually hostile response from Hanoi.

On Thursday, China accused Vietnam of illegally entering its waters and endangering its fishermen’s lives.

Hours earlier, Vietnam had condemned China for interfering with a seismic survey off its central coast.

Map and factbox detailing competing territorial claims in the South China Sea.

It claimed a Chinese fishing boat, supported by two patrol crews, had damaged an exploration cable on a survey vessel.

Vietnam said it was the second time China had hindered an exploration boat in two weeks.

Hanoi claims both incidents were within territory guaranteed to it by international law.

China sparks fresh security fears after announcing military budget will rise by 13 per cent

Chinese military spending will rise by a massive 12.7 per cent this year, Beijing announced yesterday.

The decision is the latest sign of the country’s growing assertiveness – a development stirring unease among its neighbours and the U.S..

In the past year, China has clashed with Japan over disputed islands and had rows with Washington over trade and human rights.

Might: Moves by Chinese military rulers to increase the amount it spends on defence has made much of the region nervous

Might: Moves by Chinese military rulers to increase the amount it spends on defence has made much of the region nervous

Parliamentary spokesman Li Zhaoxing said the defence budget would be 601.1billion yuan (£56.3billion) in 2011, up from 532.1billion yuan (£49.9billion) last year. The budget went up by 7.5 per cent in 2010 following a series of double-digit hikes.

Many experts believe actual spending on the 2.3million-strong People’s Liberation Army is far higher than claimed.

However, China, which recently became the world’s second-largest economy, points out that its defence spending is much lower than that of the U.S..

Last month the Pentagon rolled out a record budget of $553billion, or £340billion.

Beijing has made some eye-catching moves in the military sphere, not least in conducting its first test flight of a stealth fighter jet when U.S. defence secretary Robert Gates visited in January.

Enlarge China says its defence spending is small compared to the US and its upgrades are for defence

China says its defence spending is small compared to the U.S. and its upgrades are for defence

It could also launch its first aircraft carrier this year, earlier than expected.

‘The PLA is an important and powerful force in decision-making and there is obviously a desire to signal ... that China is going to continue to get stronger,’ said Rory Medcalf of the Lowy Institute, an Australian think-tank.   

Earlier this week, Japan scrambled military jets when Chinese planes flew near disputed islands in the East China Sea.

That signal may prompt greater wariness from neighbours.

Tensions between Japan and China close to boiling point after Japanese activists scramble onto disputed island and raise national flag

  • The dramatic assault by a dozen Japanese nationalists infuriated China, which issued an official protest to Tokyo
  • It sparked a number of anti-Japanese rallies across China

 

Tensions between Japan and China threatened to boil over yesterday in a row over a group of disputed islands.

Around ten right-wing Japanese activists swam ashore the main island in the Senkaku archipelago and raised the national flag.

They carried out the stunt to call on China to give up its claim to the islands, which are under Japanese control.

Worrying: Tensions between Japan and China were close to boiling point this evening after a group of daredevil activists from Japan scrambled onto a disputed island and raised the Rising Sun flag

Worrying: Tensions between Japan and China were close to boiling point this evening after a group of daredevil activists from Japan scrambled onto a disputed island and raised the Rising Sun flag

Protest: The activists hold up the national flag on Uotsuri island, one of the islands of Senkaku in Japanese and Diaoyu in Chinese, in the East China Sea

Protest: The activists hold up the national flag on Uotsuri island, one of the islands of Senkaku in Japanese and Diaoyu in Chinese, in the East China Sea

Controversial: After swimming ashore the protesters clambered onto rocks and raised the Japanese flag

Controversial: After swimming ashore the protesters clambered onto rocks and raised the Japanese flag

Infuriated, Beijing issued an  immediate rebuke as thousands of Chinese took to the streets in cities across the country in protest at the stunt.

The uninhabited islands, which the Chinese call Diaoyu and Taiwan also lays a claim to, are hotly disputed because they lie close to rich gas fields and are situated in a vital shipping lane in the East China Sea.

The activists, who belong to a group whose name translates as ‘Hang in there, Japan’, travelled  to the islands with 150 other people in a flotilla, which had ostensibly set out to commemorate Japanese citizens who died nearby in World War II.

The pro-Japan activists arrived in the island chain at dawn today on a flotilla of boats carrying a total of 150 people.

Disputed: This picture shows an aerial view of Uotsuri Island

Disputed: This picture shows an aerial view of Uotsuri Island

Japanese coastguards, aware of the row that would follow if any of them landed on the islands, ordered them to sail away.

But a determined dozen strapped on life jackets and swam to the rocky shoreline of the main island, Uotsuri.

They said that not only would they raise the flag on the coastline rocks, they would sing Japan’s national anthem, have a fish meal, and then carry the flag to the island’s highest point, where it would be planted.

When news of the assault reached Beijing, the Chinese issued an immediate rebuke and more than 100 people gathered near the Japanese consulate in China’s southern city of Guanghzou, demanding the Japanese leave the islands.

Anger: When news of the assault reached Beijing, the Chinese issued an immediate rebuke. Protesters carried Chinese national flags at an anti-Japan protest in Shenzhen, south China's Guangdong province

Anger: When news of the assault reached Beijing, the Chinese issued an immediate rebuke. Protesters carried Chinese national flags at an anti-Japan protest in Shenzhen, south China's Guangdong province

Unhappy: People hold banners as they attend a rally protesting against Japan's claim of the islands

Unhappy: People hold banners as they attend a rally protesting against Japan's claim of the islands

The Chinese state-run Xinhua news agency said anti-Japanese rallies were also held in Shenzhen, Qingdao and Harbin.

Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Qin Gan had warned even before the flotilla set out that ‘any unilateral action taken by Japan on the Diaoyu Islands is illegal and invalid.’

He added: ‘China has made solemn representations to Japan, demanding that it immediately cease actions harming China’s territorial sovereignty.’

The islands are important to Japan, China and Taiwan because they lie on a vital shipping lane, but more importantly they are surrounded by deposits of gas.

Tension: Protestors overturned Japanese cars following a protest in Shenzhen, China's Guangdong Province

Tension: Protestors overturned Japanese cars following a protest in Shenzhen, China's Guangdong Province

Curious: A Chinese boy looks at an overturned Japanese car

Curious: A Chinese boy looks at an overturned Japanese car

Officially, the Japanese flotilla set out to commemorate the Japanese who died near the islands in World War II, but diplomats in Tokyo and Beijing were convinced that was just a cover story.

The real reason for the landing, it was being widely accepted, was to counter a similar landing by Chinese activists last week. They had managed to get ashore, despite a Japanese coastguard vessel firing a water cannon at a boat carrying the group.

The Chinese activists were deported shortly after landing on the island – but it is believed it was their action that resulted in the pro-Japanese group arranging their own assault.

As the Japanese protest voyage was setting off, Mr Kenichi Kojima, a politician from Kanagawa, near Tokyo, said the trip was about who owned the archipelago.

‘I want to show the international community that these islands are ours. It is Japan’s future at stake.'

 

The Philippines also demanded an explanation from China over an incident on Wednesday in a disputed area in the South China Sea, where it says two Chinese patrol boats threatened to ram a survey ship.

Indeed, other nations are upgrading their forces in response to China's build-up.

India increased annual defence spending by about 11.6 percent this week and is shopping for advanced fighter jets, transport aircraft, surveillance helicopters and submarines.

Other nations have started upgrading their arms and Taiwan is particularly concerned as it has 1,400 missiles pointing at it and China has vowed to bring the democratic country into mainland rule

Other nations have started upgrading their arms and Taiwan is particularly concerned as it has 1,400 missiles pointing at it and China has vowed to bring the democratic country into mainland rule

Some officials in Taiwan are especially alarmed. China has around 1,400 missiles aimed at the island, according to the Taipei government. China has vowed to bring the democratically ruled island under mainland rule, by force if necessary.

'China's military power is now growing quickly,' said Lin Yu-Fang, a member of the Taiwan parliament's defence committee in response to the Chinese budget number. 'The United States should help us turn the situation around, and we hope European countries will also sell us advanced weapons.'

Chinese parliament spokesman Li said the military spending rise was justified. China posed no threat to anyone, he added.

'China's defence spending is relatively low by world standards,' he said. 'China has always paid attention to restraining defence spending.'

Next year's budget will go up from 532.1 billion yuan to 601.1billion yuan (£56.3bn)

Next year's budget will go up from 532.1 billion yuan to 601.1billion yuan (£56.3bn)

Andy Gilholm, senior China analyst for risk consultancy Control Risks, said China was not trying to rival U.S. global power projection but wanted to make it harder for Washington to impose its might in what China considers its own 'backyard'.

'The key issue for the U.S. and its regional allies is not the gap in spending or overall capabilities, but the extent to which China could potentially threaten or constrain U.S. ability to use its military dominance to help support its goals in the region,' Gilholm said.

China's loud, renewed claims to a vast swathe of waters and mostly uninhabited islets in the South China Sea, along with the expansion of its military presence there, rattled Southeast Asian nations in 2010.

Relations between China and Japan also chilled last year when Japan detained the Chinese skipper of a boat that crashed into its ships near disputed isles in the East China Sea, the site of vast potential gas and oil reserves.

Still, a retired Chinese military officer, Xu Guangyu, said the spending rise was needed to cope with inflation, which was eating into paycheques and equipment outlays.

'In the next two years the wages of some military personnel will have to rise relatively quickly, because inflation is quite high,' said Xu.

'Military equipment, uniforms and logistics are all feeling the pressure of price rises.'

China warns U.S. to 'be careful in its actions' as nation boosts military presence in Asia

  • Ministry spokesman said China would 'observe' the impact of a new military strategy outlined by U.S.
  • President Barack Obama last week vowed to focus on Asian security risks such as China and North Korea

China's Ministry of defence today warned the U.S. to be 'careful in its words and actions' as it made moves to strengthen its military bases across Asia.

In a statement, ministry spokesman Geng Yansheng announced China's response to the U.S.'s new military strategy developed under the Obama administration.

'We have noted that the United States issued this guide to its defence strategy, and we will closely observe the impact that U.S. military strategic adjustment has on the Asia-Pacific region and on global security developments,' Geng said in a statement issued on the ministry's website.

China's ministry spokesman Geng Yansheng, pictured said the U.S.'s new military strategy would be 'beneficial' for both countries

China's ministry spokesman Geng Yansheng, pictured said the U.S.'s new military strategy would be 'beneficial' for both countries

'The accusations leveled at China by the U.S. side in this document are totally baseless'.

'We hope that the United States will flow with the tide of the era, and deal with China and the Chinese military in an objective and rational way, will be careful in its words and actions, and do more that is beneficial to the development of relations between the two countries and their militaries.'

President Barack Obama vowed last week to look beyond the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan that he inherited to focus on Asian security risks — like China and North Korea.

'The tide of war is receding but the question that this strategy answers is what kind of military will we need long after the wars of the last decade are over,' he told a Pentagon news conference last week.

There has been growing concern in the U.S. and Asia about China's military developments in recent years.

President Obama speaking during a media briefing at the Pentagon where he vowed to strengthen military presence in the Asia-Pacific

President Obama speaking during a media briefing at the Pentagon where he vowed to strengthen military presence in the Asia-Pacific

Under its new strategy, the U.S. will maintain large bases in Japan and South Korea and deploy Marines, navy ships and aircraft to Australia's Northern Territory.

The plans outline ways to counter potential attempts by China and Iran to block access for the U.S. from entering areas like the South China Sea and Strait of Hormuz.

However, counter-insurgency operations which have been robust since 2007 when a surge of extra troops were sent to Iraq could be far more limited.

China has so far aimed to maintain an amicable relationship with the U.S. despite it being a time its ruling Communist Party prepares for a change in leadership.

Chinese President Hu Jintao has made clear he wants to avoid repeating rifts that have have previously soured ties with Washington in the first half of 2011.

Hu retires from power late in 2012 and his almost-certain successor, Vice President Xi Jinping, is likely to visit the U.s. in coming months.

The Chinese Foreign Ministry  Liu Weimin today claimed the U.S. is wrong to think that Beijing posed a threat to America's security.

He said: 'The accusation targeting China in the (U.S.'s strategy) document has no basis, and is fundamentally unrealistic.

'China adheres to the path of peaceful development, an independent and peaceful foreign policy and a defensive national defence policy.'

China has been expanding its naval force with submarines and a maiden aircraft carrier, and has also increased its missile and surveillance capabilities.

One of the biggest security threats in Asia is the ownership of oil-rich reefs and islands in the South China Sea, through which $5 trillion dollars in trade passes through every year.

 

U.S. Defense Secretary warns Japan-China territorial spat could lead to war; urges calm on both sides

 

September 17, 2012JAPAN - US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta called for diplomatic efforts to resolve a worsening territorial spat between Japan and China on Monday, the day after warning disputes could draw East Asia into war. Speaking after meetings in Tokyo with senior Japanese figures, Panetta urged “calm and restraint on all sides” in a row over disputed islands that has rapidly escalated in the last week into sometimes violent protests in China. “Obviously we’re concerned by the demonstrations and the conflict over the Senkaku islands,” Panetta said, referring to the Japanese-administered archipelago that China claims and calls Diaoyu. “It is extremely important that diplomatic means on both sides be used to try to constructively resolve these issues,” he said, adding a resolution of the dispute has to be based on “clear principles” and international law. “It’s in everybody’s interest for Japan and China to maintain good relations and to find a way to avoid further escalation,” said Panetta, pounding the podium for emphasis. Panetta arrived in Tokyo on Sunday evening after days of anti-Japanese protests had rocked cities across China, with diplomatic missions being targeted in some instances. Speaking to reporters travelling on his plane, Panetta said intemperate actions over the disputed East China Sea islands could have serious consequences. “It raises the possibility that a misjudgment on one side or the other could result in violence, and could result in conflict,” he said. “And that conflict would then have the potential of expanding.” Japan and China, Asia’s two largest economies, have long been at loggerheads over the island chain, but tensions have spiked recently. Last week, Japan announced it had nationalized three of the islands, triggering an angry reaction in China. Tokyo already owns another and leases the fifth. The uninhabited islands lie along important shipping lanes and the seabed nearby is thought to harbor valuable mineral resources. Panetta said Monday the US commitment to Japan, in the form of a mutual defense treaty, was unwavering. “Obviously we stand by our treaty obligations. They are longstanding, and that does not change.” The US has around 47,000 troops stationed in Japan. But he said the United States as a matter of policy does not take a position on the territorial dispute. –Inquirer News
 
September 17, 2012JAPAN - The US and Japan have agreed to set up a second missile defense system on Japanese soil in an effort to counter the ballistic missile threat from North Korea, officials say. US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta made the announcement in Tokyo with Japan’s defense minister. But the exact location of the system has not yet been determined. While both sides insist the system is not aimed at China, analysts say the decision is bound to anger Beijing. Mr. Panetta’s trip comes amid fresh tensions between Japan and China over disputed islands known as Diaoyu in China and Senkaku in Japan, after Japan sealed a deal to buy three of the islands. Japan and the US have worked on a joint missile defense system over the years. This new system would enable Japanese ships to cover other parts of the region, officials say. “It will enhance the alliance’s ability to defend Japan, our forward deployed forces and the US homeland from a ballistic missile threat posed by North Korea,” Mr. Panetta said. In April, North Korea conducted a failed long-range rocket launch that it said was an attempt to put a satellite into orbit. Critics said the launch was a disguised test of missile technology, banned under UN resolutions. Mr. Panetta also discussed with Japanese Defense Minister Satoshi Morimoto the deployment of US Osprey aircraft to Okinawa, which has angered local residents concerned about safety. Mr. Panetta is on a week-long tour of Asia that includes China and New Zealand. –BBC

Unlike most countries, China doesn’t have a defined beginning; it starts as a myth, grows into a legend, and slowly materializes from legend to reality.

With mountain ranges, harsh terrain, and oceans blocking excessive migration into the region, China was well placed to develop a unique and relatively stable society.

The land is fertile, and produces anything an aspiring civilization could desire. Large human habitations dating from 1.3 million BC have been located, suggesting that socialization started early in Chinese civilization.

Over time, Paleolithic sites yield to Neolithic, and in 18,000 BC we find the Chinese making the oldest known pottery to store grains and living in communities,  suggesting organized society and agriculture of some sort. 

In 10,000 BC we find a series of overlapping similar cultures; the first known regular agricultural practices are well established, as are towns and a government that stored millet for future use.

Large cities appeared around 6,000 BC as did the first forms of Chinese writing. 

In 1995 Kyodo News reported finding another large city dating from 4,500 BC, and sometime between this city and the rise of the Xia between 2,500 and 2,100 BC we find Huangdi, the Yellow Emperor.  

Yellow Emperor

Huangdi set the cultural emphasis on harmony, social cohesion, and duty.  He is attributed with discovering agriculture, irrigation, carts, animal husbandry, mathematics, astronomy and so forth but in a departure from other mythical or semi-mythical founders he shares credit for many discoveries with his advisers.

It was a descendant of Huangdi who was the first Emperor of Xia, leading to a line of 17 Emperors.

Little is known about the Xia other than what has been excavated, but they had a lunar calendar, agriculture, and almost certainly writing. They were believed to be the first Chinese dynasty to cast bronze until three tombs were opened containing advanced bronze metallurgy and predating the Xia by 500 years. 

It is thought that justice and propriety were keystones of Xia culture as embodied in the term HuaXia.  The last Xia Emperor Jie was ineffectual at ruling and was deposed by the Shang Dynasty ending about 400 years of rule.  Remarkably, other than the uprising to depose Jie, there are few legends of battle or warfare suggesting that the land was relatively peaceful.

A Chinese crossbow with a buttplate from either the late Warring States Period (3rd century BC) or the early Han Dynasty (202 BC – 220 AD); made of bronze and inlaid with silver.

The Shang Dynasty ruled for 30 generations and produced the most advanced cast bronze articles in the world at that time.  The Shang used divination and wrote their history in oracle bones.  Items from the Shang period exhibit very high quality workmanship but they were a warrior people and are credited with the first use of slavery in China.

For the first time there was evidence of a priest caste and human sacrifice was practiced.  It is from the Shang that ancestor worship is thought to have started.  In 1,000 BC the last Shang ruler was deposed by the Zhou for his lack of care in ruling the realm, ending 600 years of rule.

Evidence of other great Chinese civilizations contemporary with Shang have been found suggesting that Shang was not as widespread as originally thought, and is only one of several epicenters of Chinese philosophy and culture.  http://www.history-of-china.com/shang-dynasty/

It is alleged that during the Zhou dynasty the great classical philosopher Lao Tzu appeared, whose teachings spawned Taoism.  Taoism is unique in that it became a religion but it is not a religion, it is more a philosophical look at life, and Lao Tzu deplored the rituals that eventually grew around it.  Taoism stresses that religions cloud your mind to the realities around you and the wise man therefore refutes religion to better see ‘the way’ of life.  Taoism also stresses harmony, in life, in love, in duty, in work, and in pleasure, all things must balance.  As an example, if a river were cutting a channel to create a ring lake, you would help the river only so much as the river needed, letting the river do most of the work – work with nature and don’t fight it.

Taoism is one of the native religions or philosophies of China and its’ beginning actually predates Lao Tzu as attested by silk tapestries in tombs that attribute Taoism to Huangdi and even before. The Three Jewels of the Tao: compassion, moderation, and humility.

What is remarkable about Chinese civilizations is that a well defined secular priest or deity cult never appeared except under the Shang and then disappeared. The essence of Lao Tzu’s teachings are found in the Tao Te Ching (http://history.hanover.edu/courses/excerpts/261lao.html). 

A portrait of Confucius, by Tang Dynasty artist Wu Daozi (680–740).

During the Zhou dynasty we also find the birth of K’ung Fu Zi, or Confucious. He teaches with respect to propriety and filial duty; dealing with justice and sincerity in government and personal lives.

In effect, he believed that the best forms of government were based on family and family values, including respect for ones elders and ancestors.  Culturally influenced by the ages old philosophy of Taoism, he doesn’t so much teach new information but provides a wise insight into the deeper meanings.  It is arguable whether his teachings are a religion, or a philosophy as his teachings advise people to think deeply for themselves and progress in their learning, while retaining their sense of propriety, humility, duty and justice.

His book ‘The Analects’ discusses his teachings, and was written by his students.  http://www.pages.drexel.edu/~dat23/books/world/confcs.htm http://www.history-of-china.com/Zhou-dynasty/

With the fall of the Zhou dynasty we enter the warring states period, where seven states were fighting for control of the empire.

It is during this time that Sun Tzu writes one of the worlds most enduring political and military texts ‘The Art of War’ based on Taoist philosophy.  Finally, by adopting Legalism to assist his province, Qin conquers all and we enter the Legalist period of Chinese history – it was destined to last for one Emperor only.  http://web.cn.edu/kwheeler/chinese_legalism.html

To a Legalist, the law was supreme, a place for everybody in a meritocratic system and any upward motion within the meritocracy was the result of your capabilities regardless of your birth position.

Breaking the law was punishable by severe penalty, frequently death for the transgressor and family.  One of the benefits this system offered Qin was a state with capable people in the position they were best suited for, and where the inhabitants were directed towards one sole intent, to unify China.  Qin became the first empire encompassing all of China around 200 BC and it lasted about 15 years.  With the death of the Qin Emperor, a revolt overthrew this dynasty and the Han Dyasty followed.

Emperor of Western Han Dynasty

Lasting over 400 years the Han Dynasty built on the teachings of Lao Tzu and K’ung Fu Zi veneered over Legalism to produce the forerunner of modern Chinese civilization.  At this time Buddhism is also thought to have made its’ appearance into China, providing for the first time a lasting secular priest caste.  http://depts.washington.edu/chinaciv/bud/5budhism.htm

During the Han reign, the basis of Chinese leadership was to provide strict laws with a system of rewards and punishments for all, nobody was above the law.  The ruler was also bound to choose the best advisers available and rule with the best interests of the people at hand ensuring that taxes were not unbearable, and that commerce and the arts flourished while protected by a strong army.

Many dynasty’s followed the Han in a series of 300-600 year reigns with 40 to 100 years of struggle between before the next dynasty rose.  It is an ancient Chinese curse “May you be born in interesting times” referring to the infrequent spates in China where the next dynasty was as yet unformed.  http://afe.easia.columbia.edu/timelines/china_timeline.htm

In response to outside pressure involving drugs, trade, and military power the Chinese Imperial system collapsed in 1911, having guided China since the days of Huangdi and probably before.

In it’s place the western powers Britain, France, Germany, and the USA imposed a federal system involving a dictator, Chiang Kai Shek who was later deposed by the Communist Peoples Party led by Mao Zhedong.  To illustrate how the Chinese operate, the Kuomintang and the CCP often coordinated efforts to fight the Japanese together while at the same time fighting for control of China.  With the Japanese defeated and removed from China in 1945, in 1949 the CCP drove the Kuomintang out of China onto Taiwan where they were supported by the western powers and given a spot representing all China at the United Nations.  Later, with Russian pressure, this decision was reversed.

It was under Mao that China forestalled the western powers attempts to cut China into protectorates, restored the Qing Dynasty boundaries, and reversed the British tendency to cut slices out of China for their own Raj.

Today, after 60 years of Communist Party rule, China has the largest foreign cash reserves, is the second largest economy that is growing at an annualized rate of around 9%, and is the third country to place man in space, planning a lunar jaunt and a space station.

The philosophical undercurrents of Chinese society has always been reverence to the past, societal duty based on position, and a desire for social harmony.  Although fiercely resistant to territorial incursions, the Chinese use force as a last resort.  They have a high regard for education, artistic ability, and wisdom.  Churchill once said “Beware the sleeping dragon, for when she wakes the earth will shake”.  With a society that can be melded together like no other, a leadership style that conveys a long political tenure with a high education, and a cultural philosophy that places non interference in external affairs with a cultural business sense, China is in a strong position to make Churchill’s words prophetic.

Japanese factories have been forced to temporarily close in China and expatriate workers advised to stay indoors after angry protests over ownership of islands in the East China Sea spilled on to the streets.

Over the weekend in China there have been violent attacks on well-known Japanese businesses such as car-makers Toyota and Honda in the country's worst outbreak of anti-Japan sentiment in decades.

The dispute over the islands, known as the Senkaku by Japan and the Diaoyu by China, now threatens to seriously damage trade ties between Asia's two biggest economies with Chinese state media warning that trade relations are in jeopardy.

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Protesters march during an anti-Japan protest in Shenzhen in south China's Guangdong province yesterday

Protesters march during an anti-Japan protest in Shenzhen in south China's Guangdong province yesterday - they are angry about Japan's 'nationalizing' of the disputed Diaoyu Islands

The long-standing dispute erupted last week when the Japanese government decided to buy some of the islands from a private Japanese owner

The long-standing dispute erupted last week when the Japanese government decided to buy some of the islands from a private Japanese owner

'I'm not going out today and I've asked my Chinese boyfriend to be with me all day tomorrow,' said Sayo Morimoto, a 29-year-old Japanese graduate student at a university in Shenzhen.

Japanese housewife and mother Kayo Kubo, who lives in the eastern Chinese city of Suzhou, said her young family and other Japanese expats were also staying home after being terrified by the scale and mood of the weekend protests in dozens of cities. 'There were so many people and I've never seen anything like it. It was very scary,' she said.

China and Japan, which generated two-way trade of $345 billion last year, are arguing over a group of uninhabited islands in the East China Sea, a long-standing dispute that erupted last week when the Japanese government decided to buy some of them from a private Japanese owner.

The move, which infuriated Beijing, was intended by Japan's government to fend off what it feared would be seen as an even more provocative plan by the nationalist governor of Tokyo to buy and build facilities on the islands.

A demonstrator throwing back a tear gas bottle during a protest against Japan's 'nationalizing' of the disputed Diaoyu Islands, also known as Senkaku Islands in Japan

A protestor hurls a tear gas bottle back at police during the weekend's violent scuffles which included attacks on well-known Japanese businesses such as car-makers Toyota and Honda

A demonstrator throwing flowerpots towards the police as thousands of protesters took to the streets on Saturday

A demonstrator throws flowerpots towards the police as thousands of protesters take to the streets

A Chinese policeman emerges from a closed Japanese restaurant covered with Chinese national flags and banners saying 'it is Chinese-owned'

A Chinese policeman emerges from a closed Japanese restaurant covered with Chinese national flags and banners saying 'it is Chinese-owned'

In response, China sent six surveillance ships to the area, which contains potentially large gas reserves.

Today a flotilla of around 1,000 Chinese fishing boats were sailing for the islands and are due to reach them later in the day, the state-owned People's Daily said on its microblog.

The weekend's protests mainly targeted Japanese diplomatic missions but also shops, restaurants and car dealerships in at least five cities. Toyota and Honda said arsonists had badly damaged their stores in the eastern port city of Qingdao at the weekend.

Toyota said its factories and offices were operating as normal again today and workers were back in work, however, Japanese electronics group Panasonic said one of its plants had been sabotaged by Chinese workers and would remain closed through tomorrow - the anniversary of Japan's 1931 occupation of parts of mainland China.

Tokyo fears the date could cause another dangerous outbreak of anti-Japan sentiment.

Many Japanese schools across China, including in Beijing and Shanghai, have cancelled classes this week.

Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda, who met visiting U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta today, urged Beijing to ensure Japan's people and property were protected.

Panetta said the U.S. would stand by its security treaty obligations to Japan but not take sides in the row, and urged calm and restraint on both sides in their dispute over the islands.

'It is in everybody's interest ... for Japan and China to maintain good relations and to find a way to avoid further escalation,' he told reporters In Tokyo.

Tens of thousands of protesters gather outside the city headquarters of Communist Party in Shenzhen, in south China's Guangdong province on Sunday

Tens of thousands of protesters gather outside the city headquarters of Communist Party in Shenzhen, in south China's Guangdong province on Sunday

The angry protestors face-up to riot police as cans of tears gas are launched by officers against mob

The angry protestors face-up to riot police as cans of tears gas are launched by officers against mob

Demonstrators surround a team of paramilitary police officers in the worst outbreak of anti-Japanese sentiment in decades

Demonstrators surround a team of paramilitary police officers in the worst outbreak of anti-Japanese sentiment in decades

The overseas edition of the People's Daily, the main newspaper of the Chinese Communist Party, warned that Beijing could resort to economic retaliation if the dispute festers.

'How could it be that Japan wants another lost decade, and could even be prepared to go back by two decades,' said a front-page editorial in the newspaper. China 'has always been extremely cautious about playing the economic card', it said.

'But in struggles concerning territorial sovereignty, if Japan continues its provocations, then China will take up the battle,' the paper said.

Japanese Foreign Minister Koichiro Gemba said after talks with Panetta, that Tokyo and Washington agreed the disputed islets were covered by the Japan-U.S. security treaty.

Chinese demonstrators protest outside the Japanese embassy in Beijing demanding the return of the Diaoyu or Senkaku islands from Japan

Chinese demonstrators protest outside the Japanese embassy in Beijing demanding the return of the Diaoyu or Senkaku islands from Japan

The dispute over the islands, known as the Senkaku by Japan and the Diaoyu by China, now threatens to seriously damage trade ties between Asia's two biggest economies

The dispute over the islands, known as the Senkaku by Japan and the Diaoyu by China, now threatens to seriously damage trade ties between Asia's two biggest economies

Police walk past a closed Japanese restaurant covered with Chinese national flags as anti-Japanese protests continued outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing

Police walk past a closed Japanese restaurant covered with Chinese national flags as anti-Japanese protests continued outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing

'I did not bring up the topic today, but it is mutually understood between Japan and the United States that (the islands) are covered by the treaty,' he said after meeting U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta in Tokyo.

Japanese electronics firm Canon Inc has stopped production at three of its four Chinese factories for today and tomorrow, citing concerns over employees' safety, Japanese media reports said, while All Nippon Airways Co reported a rise in cancellations on Japan-bound flights from China.

The dispute also hit the shares of Hong Kong-listed Japanese retailers today, with department store operator Aeon Stores (Hong Kong) Co Ltd falling to a seven-month low.

'All Japan-related shares are under selling pressure ...,' said Andrew To, a research director from Emperor Capital.

The oil-rich islands in the East China sea have been heavily disputed by China and Japan

The oil-rich islands in the East China sea are the cause of the violent dispute between China and Japan

senkaku_islands_locator.jpg

China is Japan's biggest trade partner and Japan is China's third largest. Any harm to business and investment ties would be bad for both economies at a time when China faces a slowdown.

Qingdao police announced on the Internet today they had arrested a number of people suspected of 'disrupting social order' during the protests, apparently referring to the attacks on Japanese-operated factories and shops there.

In Shanghai, home to China's biggest Japanese expatriate population of 56,000, one expat said his family as well as other Japanese customers had been chased out of a Japanese restaurant on Sunday by protesters near the Japanese consulate.

Guangzhou police said on an official microblog, that they had detained 11 people for smashing up a Japanese-brand car, shop windows and billboards on Sunday.

 

Beijing sends patrol boats to East China Sea in show of anger over Tokyo buying disputed islands

  • Argument escalated after Japanese central government bought the islands last week
  • The islands are claimed by both countries but owned privately
  • Tokyo paid £16.4m for largely barren islands, infuriating Beijing

The territorial dispute between China and Japan over the East China Sea Islands escalated today as two Chinese patrol ships arrived near the islands known as Senkaku in Japan and Diaoyu in China.

The Beijing-sent vessels are a display of China’s outrage over Tokyo's £16.4m purchase of the largely barren islands from their private owners last week.

The quarrel over the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands, which are also claimed by Taiwan, has been heating up in recent months after the governor of Tokyo proposed buying the islands and developing them.

Senkaku or Diaoyu: The islands in the East China Sea have long been the centre of a China-Japan dispute but has escalated after Japan's purchase

Senkaku or Diaoyu: The islands in the East China Sea have long been the centre of a dispute between China and Japan which has escalated after the latter's purchase this week

Swift response: IN reaction to the news of the Japanese central government's £16.4m purchase of the largely barren islands from their private owner, Beijing sent two patrol boats to the area

Swift response: In reaction to the news of the Japanese central government's £16.4m purchase of the largely barren islands from their private owner, Beijing sent two patrol boats to the area

But Japan's central government announced its own deal this week with the Japanese family it recognizes as the owner.

Chief Cabinet Secretary Osamu Fujimura told reporters the government budgeted 2.05 billion yen (£16.4 million) for the purchase ‘to maintain the Senkakus peacefully and stably.’

The central government does not plan to develop the islands, going against Tokyo Governor Shintaro Ishihara’s plans.

‘Ishihara put the national government in a very difficult spot. He pushed them into doing this now,’ said Sheila Smith, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington.

senkaku_islands_locator.jpg

But she said this was a ‘good outcome’ as Japan cannot afford to let the dispute hinder its vital ties with China, its top trading partner.

Ms Smith said Tokyo needs to be able to work through problems with Beijing in order to maintain that trade serves both nations

But Beijing sees the purchase as an affront to its claims and its past calls for negotiations and, despite Tokyo’s attempts to calm the dispute, responded with fury.

Tokyo Mayor Shintaro Ishihara talks to the media after reports China had purchased the islands

Property of Japan: Tokyo Governor Shintaro Ishihara has previously said that he wants to see the islands developed

‘The determination and the will of the Chinese government and military to safeguard their territorial integrity are firm,’ Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman Geng Yansheng said in a statement.

‘We are closely monitoring the development of the situation and reserve the right to take necessary measures.’

Carlyle Thayer, an expert on regional security at the University of New South Wales in Australia, said the sending of the Chinese patrol boats ‘ups the stakes’ although it is unlikely that the Chinese boats would go within the 12 nautical miles around the islands that are considered Japanese territorial waters.

‘It's a tit-for-tat response because China is extremely sensitive about sovereignty matters,’ he said.

Japan's coast guard said it has not taken any special measures in response to the Chinese patrol boats although it continues to monitor the situation.

'Japan has a pretty robust navy, a very strong and active professional coast guard. It's all posturing. It's a game of who blinks first,’ Thayer said.

Beijing's anger has been accompanied by heated reporting in China's state media with a commentator in the People's Liberation Army Daily called Japan's move ‘the most blatant challenge to China's sovereignty since the end of World War II.’

China on Tuesday also started broadcasting a daily marine weather report for the islands.

About a dozen protesters gathered outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing chanting, ’Japan, get out of China.’

The protests have spread, with a number of people waving placards and the Chinese flag and shouted ‘Defend the Diaoyu Islands’ outside the Japanese Consulate General in southern Guangzhou and about 200 people marched in Weihai in Shandong province, singing the national anthem, local media reported.

Rising tensions: Protesters in Hangzhou, China, hold placards and banners at a demonstration against Japan's claim of the disputed islands

Rising tensions: Protesters in Hangzhou, China, hold placards and banners at a demonstration against Japan's claim of the disputed islands last month

Top Japanese government officials maintain that the flare-up hasn't affected official ties with China, although Deputy Prime Minister Katsuya Okada acknowledged that emotions on both sides were being fanned by activists.

China also has announced coordinates marking out the waters off the Diaoyu Islands that it considers its territory.

The coordinates are another step, along with recent announcements of China's intention to use law enforcement vessels, to defend its sovereignty claim, said Stephanie Kleine-Ahlbrandt, northeast Asia project director for the International Crisis Group.

‘It's primarily about being seen as taking action to pave the way for further actions to assert China's sovereignty,’ she said.

Claims

In Tokyo, Gov. Ishihara renewed his calls for the islands to be developed for future use by fishermen.

‘It appears that the matter is decided,‘ he told reporters. ‘They say they won't do anything, but China's leaders are still criticizing the plan."

Ishihara said he was freezing the 1.4 billion yen (£11.2 million) donated toward his purchase plan for the islands and would only release the funds to the government once it was clear whether a port or other facilities would be built.

He also suggested that Japan cooperate with the Philippines and Vietnam, which also have disputes with China in the South China Sea.

‘We shouldn't see this as an issue that only concerns Japan,’ he said.

Japan has claimed the islands since 1895. The U.S. took jurisdiction after World War II and turned them over to Japan in 1972.

Land grab: The protests in China came after Japanese activists swam to the islands and raised their national flag on the disputed territory

Land grab: The protests in China came after Japanese activists swam to the islands and raised their national flag on the disputed territory

Disputed: A Japanese activist waves the country's flag after landing on a group of islands known as Senkaku in Japanese and Diaoyu in Chinese

Disputed: A Japanese activist waves the country's flag after landing on a group of islands known as Senkaku in Japanese and Diaoyu in Chinese

 

Chinese military chiefs shaping country's foreign policy, claims 'concerned' Japan

  • Relations between Chinese military and political leaders 'complex'
  • U.S. to send Osprey helicopter-planes to Okinawa
  • Worries across the region at 'the way China is headed'

 

China is becoming a ‘security risk’ because of the military’s growing influence on the government, the Japanese government has claimed.

A power shift between generals and politicians in Beijing is a ‘matter of concern’, according to an annual defence assessment in Tokyo.

It highlighted how the Chinese People’s Liberation Army had spoken out more frequently on foreign policy.

Fear: There is concern across east Asia over China's growing military strength

Fear: There is concern across east Asia over China's growing military strength

And amid mounting unrest over the lack of political and social reform, the Communist government has been forced to tighten its vice-like grip on the population – a clampdown for which it relies on the Army.

China’s annual defence spending is said to have risen drastically, from £19billion in 2000 to £76billion in 2010.

On present trends the defence spending of China, the world’s most populous nation with 1.4billion inhabitants, could overtake America’s after 2035.

The Japanese assessment, which will be studied carefully in Whitehall, said: ‘The degree of military influence on foreign policy decisions has been changing.

‘This situation calls for attention as a risk-management issue.’

Tensions between Beijing and Tokyo surfaced again last month after Chinese vessels entered waters near disputed resource-rich isles in the East China Sea.

The rise of China has prompted the US to focus military resources on the Pacific instead of Europe.
China insisted its military modernisation was not aimed at any other nation and criticised  ‘irresponsible statements’ by Japanese officials.

The report comes as China's senior officers, intelligence agencies and maritime chiefs are increasingly outspoken in calling for Beijing to take a tougher line in regional territorial disputes.

Such disputes include a long-simmering row with Japan in the East China Sea.

Last year, Japan welcomed China's growing role on the world stage, while noting its increasingly aggressive moves, saying: 'China has responded to conflicting issues involving Japan and other neighbouring countries in a way that has been criticised as assertive, raising worries about its future direction.'

Defence: Japan is set to allow U.S. Osprey helicopter/plane hybrid vehicles to be based in Okinawa

Defence: Japan is set to allow U.S. Osprey helicopter/plane hybrid vehicles to be based in Okinawa

Just like a year ago, Tokyo also noted China's rapid military build-up, particularly that of its navy, pointing out that Beijing's defence budget has risen 30-fold in the past 24 years.

Defence Minister Satoshi Morimoto said the sense of caution is shared by many countries in the region.

He said: 'It is not that caution has been rising. But it is true that there exists a certain sense of caution not only in Japan but across East Asia regarding which way China is headed.'

A Chinese Defence Ministry spokesman repeated the country's standard line that its military modernisation is both transparent and not aimed at any other country.

But spokesman Geng Yansheng criticised 'irresponsible statements' by Japanese officials over the disputed islands in the East China Sea, called Senkaku in Japan and Diaoyu in China, and said China would defend its rights.

He declared: 'Protecting national sovereignty and maritime rights and interests is the common responsibility of all concerned departments, including the military, and we will closely coordinate with other departments in conscientiously discharging our responsibilities.'

New concern: North Korean leader Kim Jong-un

New concern: North Korean leader Kim Jong-un

Tensions with China have also risen in the South China Sea as Beijing becomes more assertive in its claim to the area.

The stakes have risen in the region as the U.S. military has shifted its attention and resources back to Asia in the past year.

In the white paper, Tokyo reaffirmed the importance of its alliance with the United States, saying: 'The presence of U.S. forces stationed in Japan functions as deterrent against regional contingencies, and it brings the sense of security to countries in the region.'

The official reassurance comes against a backdrop of public protests against the planned deployment of U.S. Osprey military hybrid helicopter-planes to a U.S. base in Okinawa, because of concerns about their safety.

And in its first defence white paper since Kim Jong-un took over the reins of power in North Korea, Japan said the aspiring nuclear power remained a major security threat.

'After the death of National Defence Commission Chairman Kim Jong-il, First Chairman Kim Jong-un frequently visited the military and referred to the importance of the military. Its stance of regarding the military as important and relying on it will likely be maintained,' it said.

 

The Obama administration’s “pivot” to Asia is a comprehensive military build-up throughout the Indo-Pacific region, greatly heightening the danger of war with China.

US Defence Secretary Leon Panetta announced in Singapore last weekend that by 2020 the greater part of American naval forces—including six aircraft carrier battle groups as well as a majority of the navy’s cruisers, destroyers, Littoral Combat ships and submarines—will be stationed in the Asia-Pacific.

Panetta also made clear that the Pentagon intends to maintain its “technological edge” and ability to “rapidly project military power” through the development of “an advanced fifth-generation fighter, an enhanced Virginia-class submarine, new electronic warfare and communications capabilities and improved precision weapons.”

The US is also investing in “new refuelling tankers, a new bomber and advanced maritime patrol and anti-submarine warfare aircraft” to boost the capacity of US forces “to operate over the Pacific’s vast distances.”

While Panetta denied that this vast expansion of US military forces in Asia was “some kind of challenge to China”, there is no other plausible explanation. The Pentagon’s own strategic documents, including its annual report on the Chinese military, all identify China as the US’s number one target.

In his speech, Panetta reviewed the strengthening of military ties over the past three years with virtually every Asian country—except China. Washington is surrounding China with US allies and strategically located military bases and sowing the seeds for world war.

In North East Asia, the US is refashioning its military forces with allies South Korea and Japan, and, in partnership with Japan, transforming Guam into “a strategic hub” in the Western Pacific. Washington has extended its basing arrangements with its ally, Australia, and is seeking to do the same with the Philippines and Vietnam, enhancing the ability of the US navy to block Chinese shipping of vital energy and raw materials through South East Asian waterways.

In South Asia, the Obama administration has strengthened its key strategic partnership with India, while seeking to undermine Chinese influence in Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Burma and Nepal. A decade of neo-colonial occupation of Afghanistan has transformed that country, which borders China, into a key US base of operations in Central Asia.

"China's military is growing and modernizing. We must be vigilant. We must be strong. We must be prepared to confront any challenge," Panetta said.

While in Singapore Panetta stated, "By 2020, the Navy will re-posture its forces from today's roughly 50/50 percent split between the Pacific and the Atlantic to about a 60/40 split between those oceans. That will include six aircraft carriers in this region, a majority of our cruisers, destroyers, littoral combat ships, and submarines.. ..to project power and operate in the Asia-Pacific. "

He told an audience of Asian military officials that the U.S. planned new investments in capabilities needed "to project power and operate in the Asia-Pacific, " including radar-evading fighter jets, a new long-distance bomber, electronic warfare and missile defenses. The message to them is essentially - play along with us and we will share a piece of the action with you.

The Pentagon has a name for this new strategy - its called the AirSea Battle fighting "concept".

This strategy is our course the primary reason that the South Korean Navy, at the behest of the Pentagon, is building the Navy base on Jeju Island. The U.S. Navy needs more ports to dock their warships.


 

Dispute over oil rich islands in South China Sea could escalate into 'state-on-state conflict', U.S. admiral warns

  • Brunei, China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam all claim the Spratly Islands
  • Disputed area is made up of more than 750 tiny islands with a total surface area of less than two square miles
  • Area is believed to be rich with resources, particularly oil
  • Chinese naval vessels fired on Vietnamese fishing boats in the area in May last year
  • U.S. top commander in Pacific warns drive to seize more oil resources could result in conflict in the region

 

Tensions: Pacific Fleet Commander Admiral Patrick Walsh has said claims by six Asian nations on the oil-rich Spratly Islands in the South China Sea could descend into conflict

Tensions: Pacific Fleet Commander Admiral Patrick Walsh has said claims by six Asian nations on the oil-rich Spratly Islands in the South China Sea could descend into conflict

The U.S. Navy's top commander in the Pacific has said disputes over oil rich waters in the South China Sea could blow up into serious military confrontations.

Admiral Patrick Walsh said a diplomatic row between six Asian nations over the Spratly Islands could escalate into a 'state-on-state conflict' as countries attempt to seize new oil resources.

The South China Sea - which is heavily travelled by shipping companies, including tankers transporting oil from the Persian Gulf - is vital to the Asia-Pacific region.

Adm Walsh said there was potential for an incident to intensify, in the same way tensions between China and Japan spiked after two of their ships collides near the disputed Senkaku and Diaoyu islands in 2010.

'Quickly the event escalated from something that was local, containable, manageable, to something that became a state-on-state sort of conflict.

'No matter which perspective you adopt, it's (the South China Sea) critically important for security and stability. It is the critical node to all the economic activity.

'Any interruption there would create a real problem.'

The disputed Spratly Islands are made up of more than 750 individual islands, with a total surface area of less than two square miles.

The group of islands is spread over a 164,093 square miles area off the coasts of the Philippines and Sabah in Malaysian Borneo. None of them have any native population, although some have military personnel in bases.

Disputed: An aerial photo of Pag-asa Island, one of more than 750 that make up the Spratly Islands disputed by Brunei, China, Vietnam, Malaysia, The Philippines and Taiwan

Disputed: An aerial photo of Pag-asa Island, one of more than 750 that make up the Spratly Islands disputed by Brunei, China, Vietnam, Malaysia, The Philippines and Taiwan

Ownership: China, Vietnam, The Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia and Brunei all claim the Spratly Islands

Ownership: China, Vietnam, The Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia and Brunei all claim the Spratly Islands

The six Asian nations - Brunei, China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam - claim all or part of the islands. 18th and 19th century maps from China and Vietnam both claim the islands as part of their territory.

There have been various recriminations between the nations over competing claims in recent years.

In May last year, Chinese naval vessels fired on Vietnamese fishing vessels near East London Reef and Cross Island.

Competing claims: Chinese structures built on one of the islands taken in 1998. Nine years ago the six countries in dispute were due to sign an accord preventing conflict

Competing claims: Chinese structures built on one of the islands taken in 1998. Nine years ago the six countries in dispute were due to sign an accord preventing conflict

Security: Another photograph shows military structures built by China in 1995. In the last year there have been reports of Chinese naval vessels firing on Vietnamese fishing boats in the area

Security: Another photograph shows military structures built by China in 1995. In the last year there have been reports of Chinese naval vessels firing on Vietnamese fishing boats in the area

SIMMERING TENSIONS OVER OIL

Originally, China claimed to have incorporated the islands in around 200 BC.

But the modern history of the area began when Japan held the Spratly Islands during the Second World War, but left after surrendering.

During the 1960s and 1970s, The Philippines and South Vietnam took control of several islands.

China and Malaysia also began claiming some of the islands in the late 1970s.

By the mid 1980s, China and Vietnam were clashing over some of the disputed islands, but the 1989 outrage in Tiananmen Square forced China to back down.

All six Asian nations agreed the Manila declaration to avoid conflict in the area in 1992 and a similar move was extended in 2002.

By 2005, Vietnam, China and The Philippines sign an accord to protect oil and gas in the region.

But by last year, tensions are again raised after a series of stand offs between rival navy or other shipping. The Philippines and Vietnam have both accused China of attempting to sabotage oil exploration work in the area.

The Philippines and Vietnam have accused Chinese vessels of repeatedly intruding into areas they claim and of trying to sabotage oil explorations in their territorial waters.

China has denied the allegations, saying it has sovereignty over the South China Sea.

And in June 2011, the Philippines renamed the South China Sea and the Reed Bank the West Philippine Sea and the Recto Bank.

Two years ago, Japan arrested the Chinese captain of a fishing vessel after it collided with one of its coast guard ships on patrol.

In retaliation, Beijing suspended ministerial-level contacts with Tokyo and postponed talks on the joint development of undersea natural gas fields.

It later halted Japan-bound exports of rare earth metals used in high-tech manufacturing.

Adm Walsh added: 'Just how quickly that escalated - it inflamed passions on both sides. That's my concern.'

He is due to retire and hand over the Pacific Fleet command to Vice Admiral Cecil Haney on Friday.

The islands are thought to have large oil and gas reserves around them, but they area also areas of rich biodiversity and wildlife, home to endangered species including sharks and turtles.

Will World War III be between the U.S. and China?

China's vast military machine grows by the day. America's sending troops to Australia in response. As tension between the two superpowers escalates, Max Hastings warns of a terrifying threat to world peace.

Mass hysteria: The armies of Mao Tse-tung stunned the world by intervening in the Korean War

Mass hysteria: The armies of Mao Tse-tung stunned the world by intervening in the Korean War

On the evening of November 1, 1950,  22-year-old Private Carl Simon of the U.S. 8th Cavalry lay shivering with his comrades in the icy mountains of North Korea.

A patrol had just reported itself ‘under attack from unidentified troops’, which bemused and dismayed the Americans, because their campaign to occupy North Korea seemed all but complete.

Suddenly, through the darkness came sounds of bugle calls, gunfire, shouts in a language that the 8th Cavalry’s Korean interpreters could not understand. A few minutes later, waves of attackers charged into the American positions, screaming, firing and throwing grenades.

‘There was just mass hysteria,’ Simon told me long afterwards. ‘It was every man for himself. I didn’t know which way to go. In the end, I just ran with the crowd. We ran and ran until the bugles grew fainter.’

This was the moment, of course, when the armies of Mao Tse-tung stunned the world by intervening in the Korean War. It had begun in June, when Communist North Korean forces invaded the South.

U.S. and British forces repelled the communists, fighting in the name of the United Nations, then pushed deep into North Korea. Seeing their ally on the brink of defeat, the Chinese determined to take a hand.

In barren mountains just a few miles south of their own border, in the winter of 1950 their troops achieved a stunning surprise. The Chinese drove the American interlopers hundreds of miles south before they themselves were pushed back. Eventually a front was stabilised and the situation sank into stalemate.

Three years later, the United States was thankful to get out of its unwanted war with China by accepting a compromise peace, along the armistice line which still divides the two Koreas today.

For most of the succeeding 58 years the U.S., even while suffering defeat in Vietnam, has sustained strategic dominance of the Indo-Pacific region, home to half the world’s population.

Yet suddenly, everything is changing. China’s new economic power is being matched by a military build-up which deeply alarms its Asian neighbours, and Washington. The spectre of armed conflict between the superpowers, unknown since the Korean War ended in 1953, looms once more.

American strategy guru Paul Stares says: ‘If past experience is any guide, the United States and China will find themselves embroiled in a serious crisis at some point in the future.’

The Chinese navy is growing fast, acquiring aircraft-carriers and sophisticated missile systems. Beijing makes no secret of its determination to rule the oil-rich South China Sea, heedless of the claims of others such as Vietnam and the Philippines.

Expansion: The Chinese navy is growing fast, acquiring sophisticated missile systems

Expansion: The Chinese navy is growing fast, acquiring sophisticated missile systems

The Chinese foreign minister recently gave a speech in which he reminded the nations of South-East Asia that they are small, while China is very big.

Michael Auslin of the American Enterprise Institute described these remarks as the diplomatic equivalent of the town bully saying to the neighbours: ‘We really hope nothing happens to your nice new car.’

This year, China has refused stormbound U.S. Navy vessels admission to its ports, and in January chose the occasion of a visit from the U.S. defence secretary to show off its new, sophisticated J-20 stealth combat aircraft.

Michael Auslin, like many other Americans, is infuriated by the brutishness with which the dragon is now flexing its military muscles: ‘We have a China that is undermining the global system that allowed it to get rich and powerful, a China that now feels a sense of grievance every time it is called to account for its disruptive behaviour.’

Washington was angered by Beijing’s careless response to North Korea’s unprovoked sinking of the South Korean warship Cheonan a year ago, followed by its shelling of Yeonpyeong island, a South Korean archipelago.

Wreckage: Washington was angered by Beijing's careless response to North Korea's sinking of the South Korean warship Cheonan

Wreckage: Washington was angered by Beijing's careless response to North Korea's sinking of the South Korean warship Cheonan

When the U.S. Navy deployed warships in the Yellow Sea in a show of support for the South Korean government, Beijing denounced America, blandly denying North Korea’s guilt. The Chinese claimed that they were merely displaying even-handedness and restraint, but an exasperated President Obama said: ‘There’s a difference between restraint and wilful blindness to consistent problems.’

Washington is increasingly sensitive to the fact that its bases in the western Pacific have become vulnerable to Chinese missiles. This is one reason why last week the U.S. made a historic agreement with Australia to station up to 2,500 U.S. Marines in the north of the country.

Beijing denounced the deal, saying it was not ‘appropriate to intensify and expand military alliances and may not be in the interests of countries within this region’.

Even within Australia, the agreement for the U.S. base has provoked controversy.

More...

Hugh White of the Australian National University calls it ‘a potentially risky move’. He argues that, in the new world, America should gracefully back down from its claims to exercise Indo-Pacific hegemony, ‘relinquish primacy in the region and share power with China and others’.

But Richard Haas, chairman of the U.S. Council on Foreign Relations, says: ‘U.S. policy must create a climate in which a rising China is never tempted to use its growing power coercively within or outside the region.’

To put the matter more bluntly, leading Americans fear that once the current big expansion of Chinese armed forces reaches maturity, within a decade or so, Beijing will have no bourgeois scruples about using force to get its way in the world — unless America and its allies are militarily strong enough to deter them.

Meanwhile, in Beijing’s corridors of power there is a fissure between the political and financial leadership, and the generals and admirals.

On the one hand, Chinese economic bosses are appalled by the current turmoil in the West’s financial system, which threatens the buying power of their biggest customers.

Allies: The U.S. made a historic agreement with Australia to station up to 2,500 U.S. Marines in the north of the country

Allies: The U.S. made a historic agreement with Australia to station up to 2,500 U.S. Marines in the north of the country

On the other, Chinese military chiefs gloat without embarrassment at the spectacle of weakened Western nations.

As America announces its intention to cut back defence spending, the Chinese armed forces see historic opportunities beckon. Ever since Mao Tse-tung gained control of his country in 1949, China has been striving to escape from what it sees as American containment.

The issue of Taiwan is a permanent open sore: the U.S. is absolutely committed to protecting its independence and freedom. Taiwan broke away from mainland China in 1949, when the rump of the defeated Nationalists under their leader Chiang Kai-shek fled to the island, and established their own government under an American security blanket.

China has never wavered in its view that the island was ‘stolen’ by the capitalists, and is determined to get it back.

Beijing was infuriated by America’s recent £4  billion arms deal with Taiwan which includes the sale of 114 Patriot anti-ballistic missiles, 60 Blackhawk helicopters and two minesweepers.

When I last visited China, I was struck by how strongly ordinary Chinese feel about Taiwan. They argue that the West’s refusal to acknowledge their sovereignty reflects a wider lack of recognition of their country’s new status in the world.

A young Beijinger named David Zhang says: ‘The most important thing for Americans to do is to stop being arrogant and talk with their counterparts in China on a basis of mutual respect.’ That is how many of his contemporaries feel, as citizens of the proud, assertive new China.

But how is the West supposed to do business with an Asian giant that is not merely utterly heedless of its own citizens’ human rights, but also supports some of the vilest regimes in the world, for its own commercial purposes?

Burma’s tyrannical military rulers would have been toppled years ago, but for the backing of the Chinese, who have huge investments there.

A million Chinese in Africa promote their country’s massive commercial offensive, designed to secure an armlock on the continent’s natural resources. To that end, following its declared policy of ‘non-interference’, China backs bloody tyrannies, foremost among them that of Robert Mugabe in Zimbabwe.

'Non-interference': China backs bloody tyrannies, foremost among them that of Robert Mugabe in Zimbabwe

'Non-interference': China backs bloody tyrannies, foremost among them that of Robert Mugabe in Zimbabwe

China, like Russia, refuses to endorse more stringent sanctions against Iran, in response to its nuclear weapons-building programme, because Beijing wants Iranian oil. Indeed, Chinese foreign policy is bleakly consistent: it dismisses pleas from the world’s democracies that, as a new global force, it should play a part in sustaining world order.

If Chinese leaders — or indeed citizens — were speaking frankly, they would reply to their country’s critics: ‘The West has exploited the world order for centuries to suit itself. Now it is our turn to exploit it to suit ourselves.’

A friend of ours has recently been working closely with Chinese leaders in Hong Kong. I said to his wife that I could not withhold a touch of sympathy for a rising nation which, in the past, was mercilessly bullied by the West.

She responded: ‘Maybe, but when they are on top I don’t think they will be very kind.’ I fear that she is right. It seems hard to overstate the ruthlessness with which China is pursuing its purposes at home and abroad.

China chose to make an example of Nobel Peace Prize winner Liu by jailing him for 11 years

China chose to make an example of Nobel Peace Prize winner Liu by jailing him for 11 years

The country imprisons Nobel prizewinners such as the political activist and writer Liu Xiaobo, steals intellectual property and technological know-how from every nation with which it does business and strives to deny its people access to information through internet censorship.

The people of Tibet suffer relentless persecution from their Chinese occupiers, while Western leaders who meet the Dalai Lama are snubbed in consequence.

Other Asian nations are appalled by China’s campaign to dominate the Western Pacific. Japan’s fears of Chinese-North Korean behaviour are becoming so acute that the country might even abandon decades of eschewing nuclear weapons, to create a deterrent.

A few months ago, the Chinese party-controlled newspaper Global Times carried a harshly bellicose editorial, warning other nations not to frustrate Beijing’s ambitions in the South China Sea — Vietnam, for example, is building schools and roads to assert its sovereignty on a series of disputed islands also claimed by China.

The Beijing newspaper wrote: ‘If Vietnam continues to provoke China, China will . . . if necessary strike back with naval forces. If Vietnam wants to start a war, China has the confidence to destroy invading Vietnam battleships.’

This sort of violent language was familiar in the era of Mao Tse-tung, but jars painfully on Western susceptibilities in the 21st century. China’s official press has urged the government to boycott American companies that sell arms to Taiwan.

The people of Tibet suffer relentless persecution from their Chinese occupiers

The people of Tibet suffer relentless persecution from their Chinese occupiers

The Global Times, again, demands retaliation against the United States: ‘Let the Chinese people have the last word.’

Beyond mere sabre-rattling, China is conducting increasingly sophisticated cyber-warfare penetration of American corporate, military and government computer systems. For now, their purpose seems exploratory rather than destructive.

But the next time China and the United States find themselves in confrontation, a cyber-conflict seems highly likely. The potential impact of such action is devastating, in an era when computers control almost everything.

It would be extravagant to suggest that the United States and China are about to pick up a shooting war where they left off in November 1950, when Private Carl Simon suffered the shock of his young life on a North Korean hillside.

But we should be in no doubt, that China and the United States are squaring off for a historic Indo-Pacific confrontation.

Even if, for obvious economic reasons, China does not want outright war, few military men of any nationality doubt that the Pacific region is now the most plausible place in the world for a great power clash.

Michael Auslin of the American Enterprise Institute declares resoundingly: ‘America’s economic health and global leadership in the next generation depend on maintaining our role in the world’s most dynamic region.’

But the Chinese fiercely dissent from this view. It is hard to exaggerate the threat which this clash of wills poses for peace in Asia, and for us all, in the coming decades.

 

On the other hand, the Chinese will never forget the experience of WWII. Here in one event of the savage occupation of Nanking…….The competition was reported in a Tokyo newspaper, and it was clear that two soldiers of the Japanese Imperial Army were partaking with extraordinary enthusiasm.

‘Incredible record in the contest to behead 100 people!’ screamed the headline with gruesome relish. ‘Mukai 106 - 105 Noda - Both 2nd Lieutenants go into extra innings.’

According to the report, two junior officers had a wager to see who could decapitate 100 Chinese soldiers first.

City Of Life And Death

Brutal history: A scene from the new film City Of Life And Death

But they hit their target so quickly that they decided to set a new goal of 150. The date was December 13, 1937, and the Japanese Imperial Army was in the process of ruthlessly conquering Nanking, which was then the capital of China.

Ten years later, the story came to the attention of the Nanjing War Crimes Tribunal.

Second Lieutenants Mukai and Noda were extradited from Japan and executed.

Hitler and Stalin may have killed millions more by gassing or starving, but the sheer velocity of the Nanking massacre is what takes the breath away.

In just six weeks, hundreds of thousands of Chinese soldiers and civilians were slaughtered by the Imperial Army in and around Nanking.

Quite how many hundreds of thousands has never been agreed.

China claims 300,000. The official tribunal put the death toll at 200,000.

The more conservative elements of Japanese society have always argued that the figures were wildly exaggerated. Where some revised it down to 100,000, or even less, others went so far as to question whether the killings took place at all.

You might imagine that nearly three-quarters of a century on, none of this matters any more. But the massacre is a historical event that refuses to be consigned to the past.

To many Chinese and Japanese alike, it still matters intensely. While the argument about massaging the figures and the extent of Japanese guilt continues to simmer, the smoking bonfire of the conflict cannot be extinguished. And while that remains the case, relations between two of the world’s biggest and most important economies will never be normalised. This month not one but two new films about Nanking are out in British cinemas.

Watching them is a brutalising experience. The first, called City Of War: The Story Of John Rabe, tells the story of a German resident and Nazi party leader in Nanking who set up a safety zone in the city. Like Oskar Schindler, whose story was told in Schindler’s List, Rabe helped to save the lives of thousands of civilians.

Nanking

Barbarity: 20,000 Chinese women were raped by Japanese soldiers in Nanking during the 1930sCity Of War includes a reenactment of the beheading contest. But for the sheer scope of violence, it finishes in second place to the other film, City Of Life And Death.

Though Rabe is featured in this film, too, the main characters are Chinese and Japanese. City Of Life And Death is one of the most unsparing films about the horrors of war ever made. There are mass shootings and executions, crowds indiscriminately mown down and men shot at the stake by firing squad. Victims dig their own mass graves.

A barn full of hundreds of screaming prisoners is locked and incinerated.The carnage is indescribable. In the charnel house that is Nanking, Japanese soldiers drunk on death kill like addicts getting a fix. Nor does the film flinch in visiting the other horrific aspect of Japanese crimes: the rape of 20,000 women, most of whom were then killed.

In one scene a woman lies numbed, as if in a self-protecting coma, while a group of eager soldiers queue up. A few frames later, her naked body is tossed on to a cart already loaded with female corpses. The viewer is at least spared the uniquely ghastly method of ritualised mutilation, which was to stab the rape victim afterwards with bayonets or bamboo. Nor is there any overt reference to another aspect of the Imperial Army’s sadism: the random slaughter of children. Babies were speared on bayonets. Pregnant women were raped. One was raped at full-term, then stabbed in her womb.

While China continues to refer to this bloodstained moment in Chinese history as the Nanking Massacre or the Rape of Nanking, in Japan they call it the Nanking Incident, as if it’s some slightly embarrassing faux pas committed by a drunken uncle a few years back. So what was the background to such atrocities? It was in 1931 that Japan invaded Manchuria. The trigger was a bomb attack on a stretch of railway on the Chinese coast leased by Japan. The bomb did little damage, feeding speculation that it was planted by the Japanese themselves.

IMG_7172.jpg

Civilians were 'shot down like the hunting of rabbits in the streets' by soldiers

However, the Imperial Army promptly occupied several cities along hundreds of miles of coastline.

Resistance from the Chinese began only once the communists and nationalists buried their differences and agreed to unite.

That was in 1937. As a result, the Japanese army took huge casualties and several bloody months to subdue Shanghai. Nanking was next.

The Chinese leadership anticipated a heavy defeat and withdrew the majority of their troops. A rump of 100,000 mostly untrained soldiers remained, many of whom later fled, forcing civilians to hand over their clothes to them before they left. Civilians were prevented from fleeing by the blockage of the roads and port.

The conditions could not have been more perfectly created for what happened next. And it’s not difficult to see why, for many, this is a wound that stubbornly refuses to heal. According to Japanese historians and politicians, the deaths, such as they were, were a legitimate consequence of war.

Yes, punishment was threatened for soldiers who ‘dishonour the Japanese army’. But according to a journalist travelling with the army, the rapid advance on Nanking was fuelled by ‘the tacit consent among the officers and men that they could loot and rape as they wish’.

A small number of remaining Westerners, mostly Americans, were able to keep a record of events as they unfolded. Among them was a rookie reporter for the New York Times.

At the waterfront he saw ‘a group of smoking, chattering Japanese officers overseeing the massacring of a battalion of Chinese captured troops. They were marching about in groups of about 15, machine-gunning them’.In just ten minutes he saw 200 prisoners meet their deaths. The Japanese were evidently enjoying themselves. The Japanese government had agreed to attack only those parts of the city containing Chinese troops. Civilians fled to the Nanking safety zone, but it turned out to be no guarantee of salvation. John Magee, an American missionary who had lived in Nanking for more than 20 years, witnessed civilians ‘shot down like the hunting of rabbits in the streets’.

He captured on film examples of Japanese crimes, including the murder in one house of 12 residents, from grandparents to babies.

Nanking

'We stabbed and killed them, all three - like potatoes in a skewer,' a Japanese soldier recalled The females, including teenagers, were raped and horrifically mutilated.

‘The slaughter of civilians is appalling,’ wrote Robert Wilson, a surgeon in the University Hospital, in a letter home on December 15.

‘I could go on for pages telling of cases of rape and brutality almost beyond belief.

‘Two bayoneted corpses are the only survivors of seven street cleaners who were sitting in their headquarters when Japanese soldiers came in without warning or reason and killed five of their number and wounded the two that found their way to the hospital.’

‘Rape! Rape! Rape!’ wrote the Reverend James McCallum.

‘We estimate at least 1,000 cases a night, and many by day. In case of resistance or anything that seems like disapproval, there is a bayonet stab or a bullet.’

John Rabe reported the same figure: a tariff of 1,000 rape victims in one night, including one woman behind his garden wall.

She was raped, then stabbed in the neck.

‘You hear nothing but rape,’ he wrote.

‘If husbands or brothers intervene, they’re shot. What you hear and see on all sides is the brutality and bestiality of the Japanese soldiers.’

A Chinese witness recalled a pregnant woman being raped, then stabbed.

‘She gave a final scream as her stomach was slashed open. Then the soldier stabbed the unborn child and tossed it aside.’

It’s not as if the only witness accounts were from neutrals or victims. A Japanese soldier called Azuma Shiro later recalled capturing nearly 40 old people and children, including one woman with a child in each arm.

‘We stabbed and killed them, all three - like potatoes in a skewer. I thought then that it’s been only one month since I left home ... and 30 days later I was killing people without remorse.’

An English language teacher called Minnie Vautrin kept a diary.

‘There probably is no crime that has not been committed in this city today,’ she wrote on December 16.

‘Thirty girls were taken from the language school last night, and today I have heard scores of heartbreaking stories of girls who were taken from their homes last night - one of the girls was but 12 years old.’

Her diary refers to scenes ‘that a lifetime will not erase from my memory’.

Nanking

Japanese soldiers raped up to 1,000 women a day - anyone who resisted was stabbed or shot

After a breakdown, she returned home in 1940 and a year later committed suicide.

Prophetically, she wrote: ‘How many thousands were mowed down by guns or bayoneted we shall probably never know.’

And that is the nub of the argument between China and Japan that continues to this day.

If anything, in the past decade it has intensified. Where Germany has long since admitted its guilt for wartime genocide and made Holocaust denial a crime, Japan has passed no equivalent legislation.

Ten years ago, a Nanking survivor - who was eight when she saw seven family members murdered and heard her mother and sister being raped and then killed - sued two Japanese authors and their publisher for allegedly distorting the truth about the event.

Hiding under a quilt, she had been stabbed three times. She bore witness at the war crimes tribunal in 1945.

And yet one of the writers, a professor, said in an interview that there was ‘no record’ proving the massacre had taken place.

For Japanese schoolchildren there was, indeed, very little record.

In Japan, history lessons have tended to ignore the atrocities committed by the Imperial Army. Textbooks tell their own version of the truth while Takami Eto, a senior Japanese politician, described the Nanking massacre as ‘a big lie’.

For much of the past decade, China refused to hold bilateral talks with Japan because its then prime minister kept visiting the shrine memorial to Japan’s war dead in Tokyo.

Among the dead are several convicted war criminals held responsible for the Nanking massacre.

Now we have the latest instalment in this toxic saga with the release of City Of Life And Death.

It is an immensely powerful film, brilliantly directed by Lu Chuan, a young star of the Chinese cinema. When the film opened last April in China, it caused a storm of protest. On his official blog, Lu received a number of death threats. The interesting thing about these violent responses is that they did not come from Japan. They came from China. Lu’s crime, in the eyes of some, has been to humanise the enemy. One Japanese soldier is seen wandering through the scenes of horror looking profoundly shaken by the senseless acts of savagery perpetrated by his compatriots.

The idea that a Japanese soldier might have feelings turns out to be deeply shocking to some Chinese. Some detractors called for City Of Life And Death to be deleted from the history of Chinese cinema. It was not included in the official list of films celebrating the 60th anniversary of the People’s Republic of China. It was also withdrawn at the last minute from the Chinese equivalent of the Baftas. Despite the furore, City Of Life And Death made $20million (£13.1million) in its first two weeks.

The film has been seen elsewhere in the world. Two weeks ago, it won best movie at the Asian Film Awards.

But however much it humanises the enemy, there is one country in Asia where there is no immediate prospect of a release.

 

Restless and rising: naval tension growing between China and its Asian neighbors

June 10, 2011BEIJING – China has accused Vietnam of “gravely violating” its sovereignty in an escalating row over disputed waters in the South China Sea. Beijing said Vietnam had endangered Chinese sailors’ lives and warned it to stop “all invasive activities.” It follows an accusation by Vietnam that a Chinese fishing boat rammed cables from an oil exploration vessel inside its exclusive economic zone. China is engaged in maritime border disputes with several countries. The South China Sea includes important shipping routes and may contain rich oil and gas deposits. The Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei and Taiwan also have rival claims in the area; China’s claim is by far the largest. The US has also expressed concern about China’s rising naval ambitions. -BBC
Hundreds of protesters descended on the Chinese Embassy in Hanoi on Sunday to protest an incident in which a Chinese vessel allegedly deliberately cut a submerged cable for a Vietnamese oil survey ship conducting seismic tests. The Philippines has also accused China of putting up military posts on reefs claimed by Manila. Regional belief in this peaceful rise has been eroded over the past year by a combination of incidents, including with India and Japan, and by China’s evident success in moving toward possessing advanced weapons systems, some of which in principle can match those of the United States and Russia. Some of those must be viewed as strategic assets of limited relevance to more localized potential conflicts. But one new asset that is both a global statement and new potential threat to immediate neighbors is about to enter the arena to again attempt to rewrite a history that does not always square with the facts. That is China’s first aircraft carrier, a 67,000 ton monster that began life as a partly-finished Soviet vessel that was sold to China by Ukraine in 1998. Reports suggest it will enter service this year based out of a southern Chinese port with a complement of about 50 aircraft and pilots who have been practicing carrier landing and takeoffs on improvised platforms and de-commissioned carriers. All reports to date say that the aircraft carrier is to be named “Shi Lang.” This was the name of the general who conquered Taiwan in 1683 for the recently established Qing dynasty, finally defeating the Ming general, Zheng Chenggong. Zheng fled to the island to escape the Qing, pushing the Dutch out in 1662 and establishing a small state around what is now the city of Tainan. -Jakarta Globe

U.S. facing new challenges from rising powers in Asia just as massive budget cuts loom

Posted on January 6, 2012 by The Extinction Protocol

January 6, 2012 – Washington- The United States now faces new array of security challenges from across the globe, including the rise of new powers in Asia; behavior of countries like Iran and North Korea and proliferation of lethal weapons, … Continue reading →

Posted in 2012, Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Economic upheaval, social unrest, terrorism, Financial System Collapse, New weapons of war, New World Order -Dystopia- War | Leave a comment

Patient zero: Man in China in critical condition with H5N1 infection – no known contacts with fowl

Posted on December 31, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

December 31, 2011 – BEIJING – This story wouldn’t be quite so strange were it not for the fact that it not only comes on the heels of our previous post but it also has a bizarre conjunction with two … Continue reading →

Posted in 2012, Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Future coding, Mass animal deaths, New World Order -Dystopia- War, Pestilence Watch | 24 Comments

Flashback Nov. 11: Euro collapse plus Iran strike equals Armageddon

Posted on November 30, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

November 30, 2011 – TEHRAN – It’s starting to look like all those crazy 2012 prophecies might not be so wide of the mark after all. Even as the world is transfixed by the slow-motion implosion of the Eurozone, reports … Continue reading →

Posted in 2012, Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Economic upheaval, social unrest, terrorism, New World Order -Dystopia- War | 19 Comments

Federal Reserve coordinates global effort for central bank printing to avoid 2012 year of reckoning

Posted on November 30, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

November 30, 2011 – NEW YORK  – The Federal Reserve, acting with five other central banks, took further steps Wednesday to make it cheaper for banks around the world to trade in U.S. dollars. The Fed — along with central banks … Continue reading →

Posted in 2012, Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Economic upheaval, social unrest, terrorism, New World Order -Dystopia- War, Prophecies referenced | 37 Comments

Unquenchable fire spreading: Eurozone crisis already burning markets across Asia

Posted on November 20, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

  November 20, 2011 – NEW DELHI – India’s rupee, Asia’s worst performing currency this year, could be bound for “uncharted waters,” analysts say, as fears about Eurozone debt and a slowing economy pump demand for the U.S. dollar. The rupee … Continue reading →

Posted in Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Economic upheaval, social unrest, terrorism, New World Order -Dystopia- War | 35 Comments

Wave of violence continues as Syria inches closer to civil war

Posted on November 19, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

November 19, 2011 – DAMASCUS – U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on Friday Syria could slide into civil war but she did not foresee the global community intervening in the same way it did in Libya. “I think … Continue reading →

Posted in Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Economic upheaval, social unrest, terrorism, New World Order -Dystopia- War | 5 Comments

Chinese deployment: Pakistan and China initiate 2 week joint military drills

Posted on November 18, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

November 18, 2011 – ISLAMABAD – Pakistan and China’s Special Forces have initiated a joint military drill at the Punjab province with an aim to introduce mutual anti-terror operations as well as to improve their potential for countering non-traditional security … Continue reading →

Posted in 2012, Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Economic upheaval, social unrest, terrorism, New World Order -Dystopia- War | 6 Comments

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2012: Why the year could be one of the worst in the planet’s history

Posted on November 7, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

November 7, 2011 – LONDON –The world will not end in 2012 though before it’s over, for many, it may well feel like it. Nearly every dramatic event from social unrest to the crisis in the Middle East appears to … Continue reading →

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Tension: India to increase buildup of troops on border with China

Posted on November 2, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

November 2, 2011 – New Delhi, INDIA -  Against the backdrop of Chinese military build-up along its boundary with India, the Army has proposed an increase in its strength by around one lakh and raising a new mountain strike corps along … Continue reading →

Posted in Civilizations unraveling, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Economic upheaval, social unrest, terrorism, New World Order -Dystopia- War | 15 Comments

More evidence geological change accelerating in India? Altitude sickness worst in northern India

Posted on November 1, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

November 1, 2011 – INDIA – A region of northern India has been called the world’s worst place for altitude sickness, and scientists say nobody knows exactly why. Ladakh, a high-altitude desert on India’s northern border with China and Tibet, … Continue reading →

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Urbanization frenzy continues across the planet

Posted on September 19, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

September 19, 2011 – HONG KONG – In the next 20 years, more than 590,000 square miles of land globally – more than twice the size of Texas – will be gobbled up by cities, a trend that shows no … Continue reading →

Posted in Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, High-risk potential hazard zone | 9 Comments

U.N. agency warns of possible bird flu resurgence

Posted on August 29, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

August 29, 2011 – ROME (Reuters) – The United Nations warned of a possible major resurgence of bird flu and said a mutant strain of the H5N1 virus was spreading in Asia and elsewhere. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization … Continue reading →

Posted in Civilizations unraveling, Dark Ages, Earth Changes, Earth Watch, Environmental Threat, Pestilence Watch | 7 Comments

More than 40,000 dams in China at risk of being breached

Posted on August 26, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

August 26, 2011 – BEIJING – More than a quarter of Chinese cities are at risk from tens of thousands of run-down reservoirs, prompting the government to speed up efforts to make repairs, state media said Friday. More than 40,000 … Continue reading →

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Banks and hedge funds behind land grabs in developing countries

Posted on July 30, 2011 by The Extinction Protocol

July 30, 2011 – AFRICA – Large land grabs by foreign countries and corporate entities are endangering food security in sub-Saharan Africa, an area already under pressure from famine, drought and endemic conflict, the State of the World 2011 report … Continue reading →

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An anti-Japan protester tears Japanese Rising Sun Flag during a rally outside the Japanese Consulate General in Hong Kong as they demanded that the Japanese government release Chinese activists arrested in Japan after landing on Uotsuri Island, one of the islands of Senkaku in Japanese and Diaoyu in Chinese. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Click here to find out more!A long-standing conflict over the sovereignty of a group of eight tiny, uninhabited islands in the East China Sea has resulted in dozens of anti-Japanese protests across China, some violent. The dispute came to a head after the Japanese government nationalized control of three of the largest islands earlier this month, purchasing them from a private Japanese family for more than US$25 million. The island group is called Senkaku Islands by the Japanese, Diaoyu Islands by the Chinese, Tiaoyutai Islands by Taiwanese, or the Pinnacle Islands by English speakers. Beyond national pride, potentially large gas reserves and fishing rights have raised the stakes, and China is now moving to assert its claim to the islands, contain the demonstrations at home, and respond forcefully to what it sees as a major Japanese provocation.

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Uotsuri island, part of the disputed islands in the East China Sea, known as the Senkaku isles in Japan, Diaoyu islands in China, in the East China Sea, in this June 19, 2011 photo. Uotsuri is the largest of the island group, with an area of 4.32 square kilometers. (Reuters/Kyodo) #

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Thousands of Chinese protesters take part in a demonstration in Chengdu, Sichuan province against Japan's claim of the Diaoyu islands, as they are known in Chinese, or Senkaku islands in Japanese, on August 19, 2012. (STR/AFP/Getty Images) #

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Chinese demonstrators stage an anti-Japanese protest over the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing, China, on September 15, 2012. There were protests in many major cities in China, including Shanghai, Shenzhen, Shenyang, Hangzhou, Harbin, Qingdao and Hong Kong. (Lintao Zhang/Getty Images) #

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Officers stand guard as people shout slogans and hold Chinese flags during an anti-Japanese protest over the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, outside the Japanese embassy in Beijing, on September 15, 2012. Hundreds of people protested in front of the Japanese embassy in Beijing on Saturday amid rising tensions over disputed East China Sea islands as police struggled to quell the angry demonstration. (MARK RALSTON/AFP/Getty Images) #

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Chinese demonstrators clash with policemen at barricades during an anti-Japanese protests outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing, on Saturday, September 15, 2012. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) #

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Demonstrators damage a window on a Japanese Seibu department store during a protest against Japan's decision to purchase the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, in Shenzhen, south China's Guangdong province, on September 16, 2012. (Reuters/Tyrone Siu) #

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A demonstrator swings an iron bar to smash goods at a Japanese-funded shopping center during a protest in Qingdao, Shandong province, on September 15, 2012. (Reuters/Stringer) #

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Carts are piled up in a damaged area of a Japanese JUSCO department store after a group of Chinese protesters ransacked it, in Qingdao, northeast China's Shandong province, on September 15, 2012. (STR/AFP/Getty Images) #

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Anti-Japanese protesters are confronted by police as they demonstrate over the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, on September 16, 2012 in Shenzhen, China. (Lam Yik Fei/Getty Images) #

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Police walk past a closed Japanese restaurant covered with Chinese national flags as anti-Japanese protests continued outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing over the Diaoyu/Senkaku islands issue, on September 17, 2012. The mouthpiece of China's Communist Party warned on on September 17 that Japan's economy could suffer for up to 20 years if Beijing chose to impose sanctions over the escalating territorial row. (Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images) #

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Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force's PC3 surveillance plane flies around the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea, on October 13, 2011. (Reuters/Kyodo) #

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The city government of Tokyo's survey staff sail around the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea, on September 2, 2012. The city government of Tokyo sent a ship to survey the group of disputed islands, as it considered purchasing them. (Reuters/Kyodo) #

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Activists burn Japanese flags during a demonstration over the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, outside the Japanese consulate in Hong Kong, on September 16, 2012. (Antony Dickson/AFP/Getty Images) #

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An anti-Japanese protester throws a gas canister during a demonstration on September 16, 2012 in Shenzhen, China. Protests have taken place across China in the dispute that is becoming increasingly worrying for regional stability. (Lam Yik Fei/Getty Images) #

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A Chinese man holds a national flag during a protest outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing, on August 15, 2012. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) #

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Riot police block protesters from accessing the American consulate during a protest against Japan's decision to purchase the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, in Chengdu, on September 16, 2012. Torrid protests against Japan broke out in Chinese cities for a second day on Sunday, prompting Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda to urge Beijing to protect his country's companies and diplomatic buildings from fresh assaults. (Reuters/Jason Lee) #

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A view from the Tokyo city government's survey ship of one of the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, on September 2, 2012. The Tokyo city government rented a nearly 2,500 ton survey vessel to take 25 experts around the islands to determine how they could be used if bought. (Reuters/Chris Meyers) #

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A boat, center, is surrounded by Japanese Coast Guard patrol boats after Chinese activists descended from the boat to land on Uotsuri Island, one of the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, in the East China Sea Wednesday, August 15, 2012. (AP Photo/Yomiuri Shimbun, Masataka Morita) #

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Activists holding Chinese and Taiwanese flags are arrested by Japanese police officers after landing on Uotsuri Island, one of the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, in the East China Sea, on August 15, 2012. (AP Photo/Yomiuri Shimbun, Masataka Morita) #

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Onlookers view a large protest banner at the Silk Street market, which is famous for selling counterfeit designer brand goods, as anti-Japanese protests continue in Beijing over the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands issue, on September 17, 2012. (Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images) #

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Members of a Japanese nationalist group land on Uotsuri island, part of the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, on August 19, 2012. Several Japanese nationalists landed on on the rocky island in the East China Sea at the heart of a territorial row with Beijing, sparking protests in several Chinese cities and a diplomatic rebuke from Beijing. (Reuters/Chris Meyers) #

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Unidentified members from a Japanese nationalist group and local assembly members are seen after landing on a Uotsuri island, part of the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, on August 19, 2012. (Reuters/Kyodo) #

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People hold banners and shout slogans as they attend a rally to protest against Japan's claim on the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, in Hangzhou, east China's Zhejiang province, on August 19, 2012. (STR/AFP/Getty Images) #

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An activist waves a burning Japan-US combined flag during a demonstration over a group of disputed islands, as people make their way to the Japanese consulate in Hong Kong, on September 16, 2012. (Antony Dickson/AFP/Getty Images) #

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Officers stand guard as people hold Chinese flags and banners during an anti-Japanese protest outside the Japanese embassy, on September 15, 2012. Hundreds of people protested in front of the Japanese embassy in Beijing on September 15 amid rising tensions over disputed East China Sea islands as police struggled to quell the angry demonstration. (Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images) #

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A Chinese paramilitary policeman is hit by a traffic cone as he tries to hold back protesters from storming the Japanese embassy in Beijing, China, on Sept. 15, 2012. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) #

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An anti-Japanese protester bleeds from the nose as riot police look on, during a demonstration over the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, on September 16, 2012 in Shenzhen, China. (Lam Yik Fei/Getty Images) #

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Chinese protesters kick barricades during an anti-Japan protest outside the Japanese embassy in Beijing, on Sept. 15, 2012. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) #

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Chinese demonstrators stage an anti-Japanese protest over the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, outside the Japanese Embassy, on September 15, 2012 in Beijing, China. (Lintao Zhang/Getty Images) #

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A Chinese riot policeman shields himself from eggs and water bottles thrown by protesters during an anti-Japanese protest outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing, on September 15, 2012. (Goh Chai Hin/AFP/Getty Images) #

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A protester throws a police helmet to the ground as fellow demonstrators take pictures during an anti-Japan protest in Guangzhou, Guangdong province, on September 16, 2012. (Reuters/Stringer) #

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Water splashes from a bottle thrown by a demonstrator at the main entrance gate of Japanese Embassy during a protest in Beijing, on September 16, 2012. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) #

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A Chinese paramilitary policeman reacts as a giant Chinese national flag is pulled by protesters towards the Japanese embassy in Beijing, China, on September 15, 2012. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan) #

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A Chinese demonstrator jumps and kicks a fence set up by paramilitary policemen during an anti-Japan protest outside the Japanese Embassy in Beijing, on September 15, 2012. (AP Photo/Andy Wong) #

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A paramilitary policeman guards an entrance of the Japanese Embassy, eggs and paint splattered on its wall, in Beijing, China, on September 16, 2012. (AP Photo/Alexander F. Yuan)

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